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WWW.TRIFIDRESEARCH.COM WWW.TRIFIDRESEARCH.CO M
R W
E E K L Y E P O
29 SEPT- 1 OCT 2014
Buy on fear, sell on greed.
R
Buy on the rumor, sell on the news. The trend is your friend.
T
Amateurs want to be right. right. Professionals want to make money.
MARKET OUTLOOK
MARKET EVENTS
Rupee
The rupee slipped to level of 61.62
snaps four-day losing
against the US currency to hit its
streak as S&P ups rating
lowest level seen in over 7 weeks on sustained bouts of dollar demand
outlook. Asian
from importers and firm greenback overseas.
Currencies Decline for
But
showed
some
correction on last trading session as ’
Fourth Week on Fed Rate
S&P upgrades India s outlook. The
Outlook.
currency's strength against major
dollar index, which measures the US currencies, held near a four-year
Dollar
Rallies as Growth
high against its major rivals in early trade. The USDINR pair has breached
Bolsters Interest-Rate Bets. Sterling
its resistance at 61.25 levels is
set for weekly gains as
indicating a steep rise in the pair towards 61.80-62.00 levels.
BoE/ECB rate paths diverge.
KEY RATES As on 26/09/2014 PREVIOUS
CURRENT
RATE
RATE
CURRENCIES
USDINR
EURINR GBPINR
JPYINR
% CHANGE
60.9100
78.3750
61.5825
78.4475
REFERENCE RATE (USD)
61.5720
REPO RATE
8%
REVERSE REPO
7%
CRR
4%
INFLATION
3.74%
1.10
0.09
99.7350
100.3550
0.62
56.0075
56.4575
0.80
USDINR
USDINR Oct series last week broke its vital resistance of 61.7600 but unable to sustain above it as ’
S&P upgrades India s outlook. Now immediate support for it seen around 61.2000 below which again it may drag towards its important support of 60.5000. On higher side psychological level of 62.0000 is act as major resistance for it.
EURINR
EURINR Oct series last week again closed on lower note finding crucial support around 78.0000 mark. On weekly charts, if it closes below 78.0000 level then it may fall towards the trend line which is acting strong support i.e. near 76.8000. On any correction it may find resistance in the range of 78.9000-79.5000 in the coming week.
PIVOT TABLE CURRENCIES
S1
S2 S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
USDINR
61.0000
60.5000
60.0000
62.0000
62.5000
62.8000
EURINR
78.0000
77.6000
76.8000
78.9000
79.4000
79.9000
GBPINR
99.9000
99.3000
98.8000
100.90
101.30
101.80
JPYINR
56.0000
55.6000
55.2000
56.9000
57.3000
57.8000
INTERNATIONAL INTERNATIONA L UPDATES
Brazil’s Real Climbs from Seven-Month Low on Election
Outlook.
Euro hits fresh multi-month lows vs. stronger dollar.
Peru Sells Most Dollars Since January as Sol Touches 5-Year Low.
