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The Art and Science of Technical Analysis Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies
ADAM GRIMES
WILEY John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Contents
PART I
Preface
xi
Acknowledgments
xv
The Foundation of Technical Analysis
CHAPTER 1 The Trader's Edge Denning a Trading Edge Finding and Developing Your Edge General Principles of Chart Reading Indicators The Two Forces: Toward a New Understanding of Market Action Price Action and Market Structure on Charts Charting by Hand
CHAPTER 2 The Market Cycle and the Four Trades Wyckoffs Market Cycle The Four Trades Summary
PART 11
3 4 7 8 12 13 15 28
31 32 40 45
Market Structure
CHAPTER 3 On Trends The Fundamental Pattern Trend Structure A Deeper Look at Pullbacks: The Quintessential Trend Trading Pattern
49 49 51 65
vii
viii
CONTENTS
Trend Analysis Summary
CHAPTER 4 On Trading Ranges Support and Resistance Trading Ranges as Functional Structures Summary
CHAPTER 5 Interfaces between Trends and Ranges Breakout Trade: Trading Range to Trend Trend to Trading Range Trend to Opposite Trend (Trend Reversal) Trend to Same Trend (Failure of Trend Reversal) Summary
PART III
77 95 97 97 113 120 121 122 134 137 143 145
Trading Strategies
CHAPTER 6 Practical Trading Templates Failure Test Pullback, Buying Support or Shorting Resistance Pullback, Entering Lower Time Frame Breakout Trading Complex Pullbacks The Anti Breakouts, Entering in the Preceding Base Breakouts, Entering on First Pullback Following Failed Breakouts Summary
CHAPTER 7 Tools for Confirmation The Moving Average—The Still Center Channels: Emotional Extremes Indicators: MACD Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Active Management Portfolio Considerations Practical Issues
CHAPTER 9
Risk Management Risk and Position Sizing Theoretical Perspectives on Risk Misunderstood Risk Practical Risks in Trading Summary
CHAPTER 10 Trade Examples Trend Continuation Trend Termination Failure Test Failures Trading Parabolic Climaxes The Anti Trading at Support and Resistance Summary