Advanced Contemporary Affairs ® (Book 78) ISBN 978-969-588-085-2 Price Rs. 450/Annual Subscription Rs. 2000/2nd Issue, 2012 The book series is backed and supported by the prestigious think tank, Council on Contemporary Affairs – – Pakistan _______________ Articles and Essays included in the Advanced Contemporary Advanced Contemporary Affairs are Affairs are being taken from national and international newspapers and journals of repute. The book series is designed to offer the readers a conglomerate of enlightened, research oriented, or iented, and thought provoking articles on current affairs at minimum possible cost. _______________ All correspondence and suggestions related to the Advanced Contemporary Affairs must be addressed to the Editor’s office: M. Imtiaz Shahid 133, K –3, Bolan Avenue. Wapda Town, Lahore – Pakistan. (Tel: 03222700004) E-mail:
[email protected] [email protected] _______________ We welcome any article on current affairs for publication. These articles may be sent to the Editor’s office. _______________ Opinions expressed in articles and reviews published in the Advanced Contemporary Affairs are Affairs are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the editor or the publishers. _______________ Grateful acknowledgements are due to all those Authors, Newspapers, Journals & Publishers, whose articles and research works are included in this book series. _______________ Published by Advanced Publishers 17 –2nd Floor, Muslim Centre. Chatter Jee Road. Urdu Bazaar. Lahore. Pakistan. Ph. 042 37360555, 35056955 email:
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Advisory Board Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi Political and Defence Analyst Dr Farooq Hasnat Middle East specialist Middle East Centre Washington DC Dr Nilofer Mehdi Analyst Pakistan Foreign Policy Dr Maqsud al Hasan Nuri Analyst Central Asia, Afghanistan and the Gulf Acting President & Senior Research Fellow, Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI) Dr A Z Hilali Analyst South Asian Security Dean of Contemporary Studies National Defence University, Islamabad Dr Mansoor Akbar Kundi Vice Chancellor, Gomal University, D I Khan Dr Muhammad Ahsan Analyst Muslim World & International Political Economy Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal Analyst Nuclearization Dr Nauman Zafar University of Indiana, USA Analyst Pakistan US Relations Dr Zahid Anwer Analyst Russia & Central Asia Guo Xiaobing Fellow, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, Beijing Faiza Mir Analyst Balochistan & Tribal Areas
CONTENTS S.#.
Description
Page
PART ONE INTERNATIONAL INTERNATIONA L AFFAIRS 1.
A Real-Time Look at the Seeds of Turmoil in Bahrain and Syria Tooba Khurshid
2.
Syria Bleeds – But Assad Still Leads Arshad M. Abbasi
12
3.
Turmoil in Syria, A Possible Way Out Masood Ur Rehman Khattak
14
4.
Turkey and the Arab Spring Sarah Akram
17
5.
Egypt Under Islamists? Arshad M. Abbasi
24
6.
The Palestine Question, and the Arab Answer Hazem Saghieh
26
7.
Moving Towards New Confrontations Summar Rao
29
8.
Challenges & Countermeasures Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal
31
9.
Iran Face to Face with the West, US Imran Ali Sandano
34
10.
Iran-US Stand-off: Time to Play Cards Well, Watch Interest Masood Ur Rehman Khattak
37
11.
Trilateral Moot: Rhetoric and Substance Arshad M. Abbasi
39
12.
Pakistan in the US-Iran Equation Arshad M. Abbasi
42
13.
Prospects of a Nuclear Armed Iran and Policy Options for Pakistan Shams uz Zaman Shifting Geopolitical Sands and Pakistan’s Foreign Policy Options Abdul Basit
44
14.
1
59
15.
Time to Adopt Pragmatic Foreign Policy Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal
61
Destabilizing Global Agenda Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal
63
17.
A Pakistani Perspective on WMD Terrorism: Terrorism: Is it Really a Threat? Muhammad Khurshid Khan
65
18.
2012 Seoul Nuclear Security Summit Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal
81
19.
An Estranged Client and an Annoyed Patron: Shift in the Pakistan-US Relations During t he ‘War on Terror’ Syed Hussain Shaheed Soherwordi
83
20.
Relations with America: New Terms of Engagement Dr Ishtiaq Ahmad
98
21.
Rethinking the Pakistan Plan Amitai Etzioni
101
22.
Another Round of Confrontation? Arshad M. Abbasi
113
23.
Reordering Economic Relations With the U.S. Dr. Ishrat Husain
115
24.
America’s Pacific Century! General (R) Mirza Aslam Beg
117
Pakistan, the United States, and the War in Afghanistan Mohammad Waqas Sajjad
120
26.
America’s Future Course in Afghanistan Masood Ur Rehman Khattak
128
27.
American Nightmare in Afghanistan Sarvat N. Hanif
130
28.
Last Days of US in Afghanistan Afshain Afzal
132
29.
The Afghan Endgame: Lessons for U.S. Strategy Syed Muhammad Ali
135
Drone War Against Pakistan: An Analytical Study Muhammad Saleem Mazhar& Naheed S. Goraya
143
16.
25.
30.
31.
Drone Attacks Part of US Diplomacy Riaz Missen
155
32.
Al-Qaeda in Deep Quagmire Sajjad Warraich
156
33.
Who are Extremists? Afshain Afzal
158
China’s Quest for Energy and Diplomacy Anjum Saeed
161
34.
35.
Emerging New Threats in International System: Limitations on State’s Capacity
174
Muhammad Ijaz Latif & Rehman Afzal Khan 36.
States Rather Than Criminals Pose a Greater Threat to Global Cyber Security: A Critical Analysis
186
Fahad Ullah Khan 37.
Expansion of the United Nations Security Council
196
Nadia Sarwar 38.
The Security Dilemma of Third World Countries
214
Imran Ali Sandanok
PART TWO ASIAN AFFAIRS 39.
Cold Start in Strategic Calculus
219
Sannia Abdullah 40.
India-Pakistan Relations – The Peace Process
238
Mahwish Hafeez 41.
Strategic
245
Indus Waters Across 50 Years: A Comparative Study of the Management Methodologies of India and Pakistan
261
Pakistan’s Kashmir Environment
Policy
in
New
Sohaib Khaliq 42.
Asma Yaqoob 43.
Arms Race between China and India, Impact on Pakistan Masood Ur Rehman Khattak
282
44.
The Rise of India: The Shifting Geopolitics of Asia in the Twenty-first Century
284
Arshad M. Abbasi 45.
India versus China: A Review of the Aksai Chin Border Dispute
286
Nadeem Shafiq 46.
Economic Integration in South Asia
296
Dr Ishrat Husain 47.
Emerging Regional Equations in South Asia and Eurasia
301
Dr. Aman Memon 48.
Political Legacy of the Muslims In India: An Overview
314
Tariq Hameed Bhatti 49.
Afghanistan: Quest for Peace and Stability (Historical Context)
326
Iram Khalid 50.
Reconciling the Afghan Insurgents
339
Muhammad Nawaz Khan and Aftab Hussain 51.
Pakistan-Iran Relations: Back on Track?
346
Ghani Jafar 52.
Strategic Dynamics of Kazakhstan
354
Summar Rao 53.
Sino-Pakistan Strategic Entente: Implications for Regional Security
357
Rajshree Jetly
PART THREE PAKISTAN AFFAIRS 54.
Hybrid Regime of Pakistan: The Changing SocioEconomic-Political Contours of Ideologically-Adrift Society Amna Yousaf Khokha r
375
55.
Reversing Pakistan’s Middle Class
Descent:
Empowering
Its
378
Xenia Dormandy 56.
Reflection of Poor Governance
391
Sarvat N. Hanif 57.
Pakistan’s Governance Deficit
394
Dr Ishrat Husain 58.
Good Governance and Police Administration in Pakistan
396
Kaleem Imam 59.
Corruption: Causes and Cure
409
Dr Noor ul Haq 60.
Redefining Governance
414
Dr Ishrat Husain 61.
Paradigm Shift in Foreign Policy?
417
Dr Ishtiaq Ahmad 62.
National Interest Imperative
420
Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal 63.
Water Security: Pakistan and Regional Perspective
423
Khalid Chandio 64.
Stuck Between Droughts and Floods
428
Riaz Missen 65.
Future of Pakistan’s Energy Security: An Alternate Approach
430
Muhammad Mustansar Billah Hussain 66.
Thar Coal Project Still on Back Burner
439
Khurshid Ahmad 67.
The Role of Light Weapons in Creating Internal Instability: Case Study of Pakistan Muhammad Munir
441
68.
The Role of Media in Creating Values of Nationalism in Pakistan
452
Munawar Sabir 69.
Balochistan Conflict
466 Abdul Basit
70.
Balochistan Turmoil
469
Alauddin Masood 71.
Global Conspiracy against Balochistan
471
Alauddin Masood 72.
Hands behind behind Exposed
Balochistan
Conspiracy
Finally
475
Afshain Afzal 73.
US Congress Zeroes in on Flashpoint Balochistan
477
Dr Haroon Iqbal 74.
How To Counter Us Interference In Balochistan?
480
Masood Ur Rehman Khattak 75.
Confrontation Taking its Own Path
483
Arshad M. Abbasi 76.
Has Life Lost Value in Karachi?
485
Sarvat N. Hanif 77.
Karachi: PPP’S Achilles’ PPP’S Achilles’ Heel
488
Abdul Basit 78.
Learning From Turkey?
490
Imtiaz Gul 79.
It’s Alliance of the Powerful Against the Poor
493
Riaz Missen 80.
Inflation Spiral Weighs Down on Common Man
495
Zia Qureshi 81.
Agriculture Sector: Issues and Prospects Dr Ishrat Husain
497
82.
83.
Deteriorating Balance Threatens to Economy
of
Payment
Situation
Yasir Ameen The State of Pakistan’s Economy
503
505
State Bank of Pakistan 84.
Risks to Macro-Economic Stability Increase Zia Qureshi
(ii)
(ix)
(iii)
(iv)
(x)
(v)
(xi)
(vi)
(x)
(vii)
(xi)
(viii)
(xii)
Editor in Chief
M Imtiaz Shahid
Backed by: Council on Contemporary Affairs, Pakistan (Lahore, London, Washington D.C.)
17-2nd Floor, Muslim Centre, Chatter Jee Road, Urdu Bazaar, Lahore. Ph. 042 37360555, 35056955 email:
[email protected]
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