This is an updated document which replaces all of the current documents pertaining to the historical accuracy of Gartley, Crab, Bat, Butterfly, and AB...
This spreadsheet which pertains to the historical performance of the Butterfly pattern, is one of 5 which I compiled from a sql server database containing 17 million rows of historical stock…Full description
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eToro.com - Forex Trading Made Easy! Harmonic Patterns and Their Ratios - Pattern took minimum of 1 month to form but did not exceed 3 months in duration Historical Accuracy Min1mo-Max3mo Bull www.harmonicpatterns.com Number of Matches AB=CD Ratios 2 188 0.382/2.240 1 533 0.500/2.000 2 462 0.618/1.618 4 016 0.707/1.414 7 536 0.786/1.270 Gartley Ratios 1 32 0.618/0.382/1.618 25 0.618/0.447/1.414 1 48 0.618/0.447/1.618 66 0.618/0.500/1.270 2 13 0.618/0.500/1.414 2 19 0.618/0.500/1.618 4 29 0.618/0.618/1.270 2 79 0.618/0.618/1.414 1 79 0.618/0.618/1.618 6 07 0.618/0.707/1.270 2 86 0.618/0.707/1.414 86 0.618/0.707/1.618 6 12 0.618/0.786/1.270 3 14 0.618/0.786/1.414 11 0.618/0.786/1.618 1 297 0.618/0.886/1.270 3 88 0.618/0.886/1.414 5 291 0.786XA 5 291 AB=CD 3 011 1.270 1 505 1.414 7 75 1.618 Crab Ratios 0.500/0.447/3.618
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STOCKFINDER- Rule Based Charting! Average Percent Change X Number of Months Later
Bat Ratios 0.382/0.382/2.618 0.382/0.447/2.618 0.382/0.500/2.618 0.382/0.618/2.618 0.382/0.707/2.240 0.382/0.707/2.618 0.382/0.786/2.240 0.382/0.786/2.618 0.382/0.886/2.000 0.382/0.886/2.240 0.382/0.886/2.618 0.500/0.382/2.240 0.500/0.382/2.618 0.500/0.447/2.240 0.500/0.447/2.618 0.500/0.500/2.000 0.500/0.500/2.240 0.500/0.500/2.618 0.500/0.618/1.618 0.500/0.618/2.000 0.500/0.618/2.240 0.500/0.618/2.618 0.500/0.707/1.618 0.500/0.707/2.000 0.500/0.707/2.240 0.500/0.707/2.618 0.500/0.786/1.618 0.500/0.786/2.000 0.500/0.786/2.240 0.500/0.786/2.618 0.500/0.886/1.618 0.500/0.886/2.000 0.500/0.886/2.240 0.500/0.886/2.618 0.886XA AB=CD 1.618BC Ratio 2.000BC Ratio 2.240BC Ratio 2.618BC Ratio
Butterfly Ratios
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0.786/0.382/1.618
0
0
0
0
0
0.786/0.382/2.000
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0.786/0.382/2.240
149
6.85
8.71
10.92
14.36
24 24.7
0.786/0.447/1.618
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.786/0.447/2.000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.786/0.447/2.240
104
5.61
7.24
11.22
15.56
11.41
0.786/0.500/1.618
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.786/0.500/2.000
55
7.93
8.74
19.14
13.99
18.22
0.786/0.500/2.240
131
4.16
6.05
8 .73
10.29
18.79
0.786/0.618/1.618
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.786/0.618/2.000
137
3.61
6.75
9 .44
14.14
23.33
0.786/0.618/2.240
92
4.25
6.81
8 .23
13.27
27.72
0.786/0.707/1.618
41
4.42
8.91
13.35
26.31
32.2
0.786/0.707/2.000
149
4.47
6.82
7 .44
12.78
19.6
0.786/0.707/2.240
18
5.26
7.43
15.38
31.25
43.66
0.786/0.786/1.618
100
1.49
4.99
10.04
17.13
22.62
0.786/0.786/2.000
118
4.98
5.38
9 .51
15.05
25.87
0.786/0.786/2.240
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.786/0.886/1.618
312
3.68
4.64
5 .42
9 .6
16.79
0.786/0.886/2.000
59
7.23
9.58
13.26
8.64
26.62
0.786/0.886/2.240
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.27XA Ratio
1467
4.63
6.55
9 .3 1
13.37
21.43 21.55
AB=CD Ratio
605
5.61
7.74
11.43
14.71
1.618BC Ratio
454
3.26
5.07
7 .14
12.82
19.46
2.000BC Ratio
519
5.15
7.15
10.49
13.35
22.88
2.240BC Ratio
494
5.33
7.28
10.05
13.87
21.69
eToro.com - Forex Trading Made Easy! Harmonic Patterns and Their Ratios - Pattern took minimum of 1 year to form but did not exceed 4 y ears in duration Historical Accuracy Min1yr-Max4yr Bull www.harmonicpatterns.com Number of Matches AB=CD Ratios 3 0.382/2.240 4 78 0.500/2.000 91 0.618/1.618 1 04 0.707/1.414 1 94 0.786/1.270 Gartley Ratios 23 0.618/0.382/1.618 0 0.618/0.447/1.414 23 0.618/0.447/1.618 6 0.618/0.500/1.270 28 0.618/0.500/1.414 52 0.618/0.500/1.618 35 0.618/0.618/1.270 28 0.618/0.618/1.414 34 0.618/0.618/1.618 36 0.618/0.707/1.270 33 0.618/0.707/1.414 12 0.618/0.707/1.618 61 0.618/0.786/1.270 34 0.618/0.786/1.414 0 0.618/0.786/1.618 1 32 0.618/0.886/1.270 22 0.618/0.886/1.414 5 60 0.786XA 5 60 AB=CD 2 70 1.270 1 46 1.414 1 44 1.618 Crab Ratios 0.500/0.447/3.618
0
STOCKFINDER- Rule Based Charting! Average Percent Change X Number of Months Later